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Aug. 24th, 2017
Опоздавшие опоздали навсегда?
Aug. 24th, 2017 01:39 pmИндустриализация - это благо. For developed countries, industrialization was the path to wealth. То есть - для тех, кто успел развиться вовремя, это путь к достатку.
А для тех, кто не успел?
The problem is that, whereas countries like the United States had the opportunity to become fully industrialized (read: wealthy) before the process of deindustrialization began, developing industrial economies like China never had a chance to reach maturity before deindustrializing. As Harvard economist Dani Rodrik noted in a recent article for The New York Times, the onset of premature deindustrialization in the developing world means that income for these workers has peaked at far lower levels than in the United States and Western Europe before the transition to a service economy began. In other words, wages topped out too low for the citizens of developing countries to turn them into the consuming force that is necessary to sustain the ramped-up production enabled by the fourth industrial revolution.
То есть те, кто не вышел на уровень зарплат, делающий их завидными потребителями, и создающий возможность экономики услуг, обречены на бедность. A World Bank report found that two-thirds of all jobs in the developing world face being automated out of existence, although the rate that this will happen is uncertain and “depends on the the pace of technological disruption.” Две трети дешевой рабсилы Третьего мира будет по оценкам Всемирного банка замещены еще более дешевыми роботами. И - все... Окно возможностей закрывается. Как закрылось оно для неандертальцев, не успевших стать людьми....
А для тех, кто не успел?
The problem is that, whereas countries like the United States had the opportunity to become fully industrialized (read: wealthy) before the process of deindustrialization began, developing industrial economies like China never had a chance to reach maturity before deindustrializing. As Harvard economist Dani Rodrik noted in a recent article for The New York Times, the onset of premature deindustrialization in the developing world means that income for these workers has peaked at far lower levels than in the United States and Western Europe before the transition to a service economy began. In other words, wages topped out too low for the citizens of developing countries to turn them into the consuming force that is necessary to sustain the ramped-up production enabled by the fourth industrial revolution.
То есть те, кто не вышел на уровень зарплат, делающий их завидными потребителями, и создающий возможность экономики услуг, обречены на бедность. A World Bank report found that two-thirds of all jobs in the developing world face being automated out of existence, although the rate that this will happen is uncertain and “depends on the the pace of technological disruption.” Две трети дешевой рабсилы Третьего мира будет по оценкам Всемирного банка замещены еще более дешевыми роботами. И - все... Окно возможностей закрывается. Как закрылось оно для неандертальцев, не успевших стать людьми....